2026-09-13 · FOREX
US Dollar / Yen (USD/JPY) Daily Analysis
SELL
75% confidence · 153.554 JPY
TREND
USD/JPY is in a strong downtrend, with the price trading below the EMA9 (155.24), EMA21 (156.99), and EMA50 (158.62), and the MACD at -1.62 confirming bearish momentum.
SUMMARY
Today's analysis for USD/JPY indicates a SELL signal with 75% confidence. The price has remained steady at 153.554 JPY since yesterday's HOLD signal, but new bearish developments strengthen the conviction. The MACD at -1.62 confirms strong bearish momentum, and the price is trading well below all key EMAs (EMA9 at 155.24, EMA21 at 156.99, EMA50 at 158.62), signaling a persistent downtrend. While the RSI at 29.26 suggests oversold conditions and the price is near the lower Bollinger Band (152.69), a significant Evening Star pattern has formed, reinforcing a bearish outlook. This suggests that despite being oversold, further downside or consolidation is more likely than an immediate reversal.
SUPPORT
152.9
RESISTANCE
160.38
TIMEFRAME BIAS
The short-term bias is bearish due to strong trend indicators and a bearish pattern, while the long-term bias remains bearish as the price is below all significant moving averages.
PATTERNS
Evening Star: 3-candle bearish reversal